FAS
Weekly Attache Report Digest
May 17,
2002
Tobacco and Products Annual
CHINA, PEOPLES REPUBLIC OF, May 10, 2002 -- Tobacco
production fell during 2001 and is forecast to fall further
during 2002 as production control efforts begin to have an
impact. Imports of both leaf tobacco and cigarettes increased,
with further gains forecast for 2002. Imports of leaf tobacco
from the U.S. may begin as early as 2002, but only trial
shipments are expected during the initial period.
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Oilseeds and Products Annual
PARAGUAY, May 9, 2002 -- Soybean production for the current
crop is estimated to fall to 3.1 million tons due to drought
damage in December and January. Production is expected to
recover next year to reach 3.6 million tons. Cottonseed
production is down due to sharply lower area of 180,000 ha.
Area is expected to recover somewhat and increase to 200,000
ha. next year.
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Oilseeds and Products Annual
ARGENTINA, May 9, 2002 -- Lack of credit and devaluation of
the Argentine peso are expected shift area next year to crops
which require lower inputs such as soybeans and sunflower.
Soybean production this year is estimated to increase to 30
million tons (up 500,000 tons from the previous estimate).
Soybean production next year is expected to be 29.5 million
tons, as lower yields offset higher area.
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Citrus Semi-Annual
MOROCCO, May 9, 2002 -- Production of late-maturing oranges
for 2001/2002 is revised downward. Total exports of fresh
citrus are not expected to increase dramatically from last
year in spite of the significant increase in Clementine-like
and Navel exports. Orange processing is not expected to exceed
30,000 MT because of the high local prices for fresh oranges.
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Canned Deciduous Fruit
Annual
SPAIN, May 9, 2002 -- At this time of the year, when most
fruit trees are blooming, there are no data available to
estimate any crop, and to estimate the canned deciduous fruit
production. Canned peach and pear production is expected to be
lower to minimize stocks. Total exports of canned peaches and
pears in calendar year 2001 decreased.
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Tobacco and Products Annual
SPAIN, May 9, 2002 -- Cigarette sales are growing in Spain
to record levels and so are cigarette imports which are
growing rapidly. Blended tobacco, the main United States
tobacco exports to Spain, continues to decline due to a cut
back in the production of Philips Morris' brands in Spain.
Although U.S. unmanufactured tobacco imports in 2001 declined
to $115 million, $31 million less than in 2000, they still
continue to lead by far the Spanish market, with a market
share of 50 percent.
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Canned Deciduous Fruit
Annual
ARGENTINA, May 9, 2002 -- Lower fresh production and
depressed prices have reduced production of canned peaches to
a level not seen since 1996. Exports are more profitable due
to the Argentine peso devaluation and should increase slightly
despite lower production. Domestic consumption is expected to
fall drastically due to the economic crisis.
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Planting Seeds Annual
ARGENTINA, May 9, 2002 -- Argentina imports of planting
seeds are expected to fall as a result of the current
threefold higher rate of exchange compared with that of
January 2002. Imports of forage planting seeds are expected to
be more affected. Nearly 90 % of the beef produced in
Argentina goes to the domestic market and beef prices continue
to be below world prices. Imported inputs as fertilizer and
pesticides are now more expensive in local currency, while
export taxes of 20% on major crops have meant that prices have
fallen in dollar terms.
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Final Data for Danish 2001
Grain Harvest
DENMARK, May 10, 2002 -- 2001 grain harvest at record 9.8
million tons, 200,000 tons above record 1990 harvest. Winter
planting for harvesting in 2002 is five percent above previous
year.
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Planting Seeds Annual
DENMARK, May 10, 2002 -- This report contains 2001
statistics. A full report with narratives will be transmitted
after mid-May.
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Oilseeds and Products Annual
PORTUGAL, May 10, 2002 -- On the rise, Portuguese total
soybean crushing is forecasted to total 1.055 million and 1.21
million MT in MY2001/02 and in MY2002/03 respectively. Further
consumption growth is anticipated in the medium-term. U.S.
soybean exports to Portugal are expected to reach 277,000 Mt
in MY2002/03. 1 USD = 1.12 Euros.
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Tobacco and Products Annual
POLAND, May 10, 2002 -- Poland's tobacco sector is in a
state of transition as Poland prepares for EU accession which
its government hopes to achieve by January 2004. It appears
that Poland's post-accession tobacco production quota will
likely be 36,000 tons. Meanwhile, tobacco production declined
for the third consecutive year in MY 2001/02 largely due to
poor weather conditions. The general trend in declining
planted area is expected to continue as demand decreases due
to anti-smoking campaigns and likely much higher
post-accession tobacco product taxes. Approximately 45 percent
of all adult males and 22 percent of females in Poland smoke.
Tobacco imports and cigarette exports increased in 2001 while
cigarette smuggling appears to have risen.
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Cotton and Products Annual
GERMANY, May 10, 2002 -- Raw cotton imports totaled 146,125
MT in MY 2000/2001, up 15 percent from the previous MY, mainly
due to the low price level. For MY2001/2002 declining imports
are expected. Imports of U.S. cotton amounted to 6,357 MT in
MY 2000/2001.
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Tobacco and Products Annual
JAPAN, May 10, 2002 -- Japanese domestic leaf production in
2001 totaled 60,565 metric tons (MT), farm sales weight, down
slightly from 60,803 MT in the previous year. Planting area
also declined from 23,991 ha. the previous year to 23,411 ha.
These trends are expected to continue. While Japan's cigarette
imports also declined marginally, U.S. retained a 95% share of
the import market.
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Overview of the French
Seafood Market
FRANCE, May 10, 2002 -- France has a structural trade
deficit for seafood. The deficit is characterized by a strong
consumer demand for seafood combined with limited domestic
production which, in turn, resulted in French seafood imports
of Euro 3.34 billion in 2001. Outside Europe, the United
States is the leading seafood supplier to France. In France,
best market prospects for U.S. seafood and products are surimi,
lobster, and salmon.
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HRI Food Service Sector
Report
FRANCE, May 10, 2002 -- The French Hotel, Restaurant and
Institution (HRI) food service is a $51.4 billion market
industry serving more than 7 billion meals per year outside
the home. HRI is a highly competitive market offering
opportunities for a variety of reasonably-priced, high quality
and innovative U.S. products such as frozen prepared meals,
single portion packaged foods, alcoholic beverages, ethnic
foods and fish. Experts predict that this market will grow at
a rate of, at least, 5 percent per year in the next few years
as new lifestyles take hold in France. U.S.-style outlets,
especially fast food restaurants are doing well in France.
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Oilseeds and Products Annual
CANADA, May 10, 2002 -- Based on the April 24, 2002
Statistics Canada (STC) seeding intentions survey, in Western
Canada, area seeded to canola is expected to increase for
2002/03 while the area seeded to soybeans is expected to
decrease. Total production of oilseeds in Canada for 2002/03
is forecast to increase to 7.9 MMT from about 6.7 MMT in
2001/02, assuming slightly below-normal yields. The supply of
oilseeds is forecast to decrease slightly due to low carry-in
stocks and a reduced imports. In Canada, oilseed prices,
except flaxseed, are expected to decline.
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RP Bans Meat and Meat
Products from South Korea
PHILIPPINES, May 10, 2002 -- The Philippine Department of
Agriculture (DA) has banned, effective 6 May 2002, the
importation of FMD-susceptible animals, their products and
by-products from mainland South Korea.
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Citrus Semi-Annual
KOREA, REPUBLIC OF, May 13, 2002 -- Market Year (MY)
2000/2001 Unshu orange outdoor production is estimated at
624,000 metric tons (MT), 12-percent lower than the initial
forecast, due to strong measures undertake by the Cheju citrus
industry to reduce volume entering the fresh market. MY 2002
citrus production is forecast at 630,000 MT, including 27,000
MT of greenhouse production. In CY 2002, imports are projected
in the 100,000 - 120,000 MT range based on a favorable market
environment; and several major events -- FIFA World Cup games
and Asian games plus local and national elections. In 2002,
Cheju was designated as a "Free Trade Zone." The draft
development plan issued includes initiatives to enhance the
citrus industry's competitiveness in coming years.
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Coconut Products Export -
December 2001
PHILIPPINES, May 13, 2002 -- Coconut oil and copra meal
exports in December 2001 declined 46 and 11 percent,
respectively, compared to their levels the previous year. A
total of 1,575 tons of copra were also exported during the
month, 43 percent below its December 2000 level.
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PCB MRL in Fish Soon to be
Limited to 75 Micrograms per Kilo
BELGIUM-LUXEMBOURG, May 13, 2002 -- Unscheduled Report
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Weekly rice report,
Brussels, May 7 , 2002
EUROPEAN UNION, May 13, 2002 -- This weekly report contains
data on rice prices in the U.S., Thailand and the EU. It also
lists current import duties and export subsidies in the EU.
All information will be published as such in the weekly USDA
publication "Rice Market News".
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Announcement on HFCS
Antidumping Case
MEXICO, May 13, 2002 -- On May 7, 2002, the Secretariat of
Economy published in the "Diario Oficial" (Federal Register) a
final decision from the Binational Panel established by NAFTA
on the U.S. HFCS antidumping duties case. The authorities have
30 days from the date of announcement to lift up the duties on
HFCS.
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TMO Sales Tender Result
(March 28, 2002)
TURKEY, May 14, 2002 -- The Turkish Grain Board (TMO) held
its fourth tender for CY 2002 on March 28, 2002 and sold only
8,000 MT of white feed barley.
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Tobacco and Products Annual
RUSSIAN FEDERATION, May 14, 2002 -- The Russian tobacco
industry operates in an environment of insignificant domestic
tobacco leaf production and high (and expanding) utilization
of raw material imports. These imports have allowed the
domestic cigarette industry to grow, while negatively
affecting cigarette imports over the last five years.
Consumption itself has been relatively stable. For 2002,
cigarette production, consumption and trade are expected to
show little change from 2001.
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U.S./Canada Cross Border
Investment in Agriculture
CANADA, May 14, 2002 -- The following paper lists U.S. agri-food
companies with significant investments in Canada as well as
Canadian agri-food companies with investments in the United
States. The total stock of US foreign direct investment (FDI)
in Canada was $126.4 billion in 2000, representing over 72% of
total FDI in Canada, and is concentrated in manufacturing,
finance and natural resources. The stock of Canadian FDI in
the US was US$103.7 billion, amounting to 52% of total
Canadian direct investment abroad.
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Canadian Stocks of Grain and
Oilseeds Lower Except Corn
CANADA, May 14, 2002 -- According to Statistics Canada,
total stocks, including commercial and on-farm inventories, of
all grains and oilseeds except corn were lower than 2001,
according to recent surveys of farmers and commercial grain
holders across Canada. The stocks figures parallel the
production results for the 2001/02 crop year with declines
reported for all grains and oilseeds except corn. Corn acreage
and yields in Canada were higher than the 2000/01 crop year.
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Country Report
BARBADOS, May 14, 2002 -- This report provides information
on Barbados' regulatory environment a it relates to imports of
U.S. food and beverage products. Despite having certain
licensing requirements for selected products and extensive
labeling requirements for most foodstuffs, U.S. suppliers will
find Barbados to be a relatively open market for most U.S.
products.
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Mexico's Monthly Crop
Update, April 2002
MEXICO, May 14, 2002 -- The early official forecast for the
2002 spring/summer harvest is lower than previously estimated.
FAS/Mexico is maintaining the previous cotton forecast for MY
2001/02 until it publishes its Annual Cotton Report in early
June 2002.
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Weekly Highlights & Hot
Bites, Issue #16
MEXICO, May 14, 2002 -- Announcement on HFCS Antidumping
Case*Egg Consumption Campaign*Farmers Plan Border Blockade
Over Water
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Ag Ministers Work Towards
Formal Agreement on New Agr. Policy Framework
CANADA, May 14, 2002 -- Canada's federal, provincial and
territorial agriculture ministers made progress in Ottawa, May
6-7, toward signing an umbrella agreement on the proposed
Agricultural Policy Framework (APF) for their annual meeting
next month in Halifax. The APF has five key elements: (1)
business risk management; (2) food safety and quality; (3)
environment; (4)
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Citrus Semi-Annual
JAPAN, May 15, 2002 -- U.S. grapefruit captures consumer
demand for another year. Sales are expected to reach 210,000
metric tons this year, according to Tokyo traders. Japanese
grapefruit remains stable in volume and price. Fresh U.S.
orange imports will decline to 100,000 tons this year, despite
a good crop, due to higher U.S. prices. The quality of fresh
U.S. lemons remains constant and volumes are estimated to
reach 70,000 tons this season.
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Tobacco and Products Annual
MALAYSIA, May 15, 2002 -- Tobacco was America's second
largest ag. export item to Malaysia in 2001. Low domestic
output forced the tobacco manufacturers to sharply increase
flue-cured leaf imports. Imports of burley also soared in
response to the sharp increase in production of US blended
cigarettes. For 2002, Post expects leaf imports to decline as
tobacco manufacturers work down on stocks. Domestic output of
flue-cured is expected to increase to 9,400 MT while burley
output is likely to rise to 1,130 MT in 2002. Cigarette prices
went up by US$0.11 to 0.13 per packet of 20 in response to a
hike in import and excise duties in Oct, 2001. Effective Jan
1, 2002, the import duty on imported tobacco leaves has been
reduced to US$10.53/kg
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Food Business Line
JAPAN, May 15, 2002 -- A summary of current news reports in
America's largest food and agricultural export market as
translated from Japan's mass media and food press. This issue
includes: food sales of Japan Chain Stores Association member
companies fall 2.2% in February; Japan Food Service
Association member company sales fall 5.9% in February;
Yoshinoya and Sukiya both hold discount promotions in April to
accelerate gradually recovering beef bowl sales; Outback
Steakhouse plans to open 28 outlets in Japan by March 2005;
Tokyo Metropolitan Government launches new Food and Drug
Safety Division on April 1; and Japan Tobacco's Australian
subsidiary obtains a 40% share of Swickers, the fourth largest
pork processing company in Australia.
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Tobacco and Products Annual
ARGENTINA, May 15, 2002 -- Argentine tobacco production for
MY2002 is estimated at a record 127,500 metric tons. This is a
result of producers expanding area and excellent weather.
Exports are also projected to become a record with a total
volume of 75,700 metric tons. Flue cured will account for more
than half of total foreign sales, followed by burley and dark
air and sun cured tobacco. Tobacco domestic consumption is
expected to fall as result of declining cigarette sales. As
result of the recent strong devaluation of the local currency,
which improved competitiveness, Argentine tobacco exports are
expected to increase in the next few years, while domestic
demand will remain quite flat.
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This Week in Canadian
Agriculture, Issue 17
CANADA, May 15, 2002 -- "What's New, Eh?" * Oilseed and
Products Annual Report * Moratorium on Hog Barns in Quebec *
Western Canada Most Efficient in Feeder Pigs, but Losing Edge
in Finishing Hogs * Goodale Calls Farm Bill "Foul" Legislation
* Minister Vanclief Meets with USDA's Ann Veneman * Canada
Can't Match U.S. Subsidies. Will Try to "Mitigate" Impact *
Agriculture Ministers Work Toward Formal Agreement on New
Agriculture Policy Framework * Canadian Stocks of Grain and
Oilseeds Lower Except for Corn
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Coffee Annual
BRAZIL, May 15, 2002 -- The MY 2002/03 Brazilian coffee
production is forecast at 46.85 million 60-kg bags, up 39
percent from MY 2001/02 estimate. The average yield for the
current harvest is placed at 20.2 bags (60 kg) per ha., due to
good weather conditions, fair crop management, the on-year of
the biennial production cycle for a significant number of
trees, among other factors. Total MY 2002/03 coffee exports
are expected to reach 28.6 million bags, a 15 percent increase
compared to previous MY due to the competitiveness of the
Brazilian product internationally.
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MAFF Announces 1st
Simultaneous Buy and Sell Rice
JAPAN, May 16, 2002 -- The Food Agency (FA) of the Ministry
of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries (MAFF) recently
announced that on May 31, 2002, it will conduct the first
Simultaneous Buy and Sell (SBS) rice tender for 20,000 metric
tons for Japanese Fiscal Year 2002 (April 2002 - March 2003).
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New Nutrition Labeling
Regulations
TAIWAN, May 17, 2002 -- The Department of Health published
new nutrition labeling and nutrition claim regulations based
on Codex Alimentarius guidelines. Consumer-packaged foods
produced on or after September 1, 2002 must conform with the
new regulations. In addition, all dairy products and all
beverages produced after January 1, 2003, except alcoholic
beverages, must have nutrition labeling. The English language
version of the regulation on nutrition labeling is included in
this report. Labeling must be in Mandarin Chinese using
Traditional characters.
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Wheat and Corn Situation
Update
CHINA, PEOPLES REPUBLIC OF, May 16, 2002 -- Although TRQs
for both wheat and corn have been issued, import purchases are
very weak due to a combination of market conditions and
Government actions. Chinese state-owned trading companies
continue to make corn available for export at well below
prevailing domestic market prices.
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Coffee Annual
INDIA, May 16, 2002 -- Unattractive prices continue to
depress Indian coffee production. Exports fell 13 percent in
CY 2001, and expected to decline another 10 percent this year.
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Retail Food Sector Report
CHINA, PEOPLES REPUBLIC OF, May 16, 2002 -- Export
opportunities exist in south China's retail sector for U.S.
companies, but the demand for imports is not as great as in
years past. Products with the best prospects include: infant
formula, fresh fruit and nuts, candies, microwave popcorn, and
many others. Companies can improve their market entry chances
by working with the ATO Guangzhou.
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Weekly rice report,
Brussels, May 13 , 2002
EUROPEAN UNION, May 16, 2002 -- This weekly report contains
data on rice prices in the U.S., Thailand and the EU. It also
lists current import duties and export subsidies in the EU.
All information will be published as such in the weekly USDA
publication "Rice Market News".
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Colombia Halts Imports of
All Live Poultry and Some Poultry Products
COLOMBIA, May 16, 2002 -- Due to the Avian Influenze
outbreak in Virginia and North Carolina, Colombia has halted
imports of live poultry from all of the United States and
imports of all live poultry and poultry products from the two
states where the outbreaks occurred.
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Sugar Annual
ARGENTINA, May 16, 2002 -- Argentine sugar production for
MY2003 is projected at 1.55 million metric tons, slightly
lower than the previous year. Returns in MY2002 were in many
cases negative, affecting the investment in plantations. With
the strong currency devaluation in the first three months of
CY2002, Argentina has improved its competitiveness, but a
reduced output in the coming crop will limit export expansion.
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Weekly rice report,
Brussels, April 30, 2002
EUROPEAN UNION, May 13, 2002 -- This weekly report contains
data on rice prices in the U.S., Thailand and the EU. It also
lists current import duties and export subsidies in the EU.
All information will be published as such in the weekly USDA
publication "Rice Market News".
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Coffee Annual
PHILIPPINES, May 16, 2002 -- Growing demand for coffee
coupled with the continuing slow decline in domestic coffee
production through MY02/03 and low world market prices will
result in a surge in coffee imports in MY01/02 to 292,000
bags. Imports in MY02/03 will likely decline compared to its
MY01/02 level as prices increase and stock levels remain
adequate.
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Colombian Concern About the
U.S. Farm Bill
COLOMBIA, May 16, 2002 -- Colombian agricultural policy
makers and leading associations have expressed strong concerns
about the newly-signed U.S. farm bill. Colombia insists that
U.S. agricultural products will not received increased access
to the Colombian market, as long as U.S. internal supports
remain so high.
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Coffee Annual
VENEZUELA, May 16, 2002 -- No summary available.
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Coffee Annual
INDONESIA, May 17, 2002 -- Faced with rising costs of
production and low prices, production is expected to continue
falling, reaching 5,780 thousand 60 Kg bags (tbags) in
marketing year 2002/03. If strictly implemented, a new
International Coffee Organization resolution governing quality
standards could hamper exports. In line with expectations for
lower domestic supplies, total bean exports are expected to
decline to 4,500 tbags in 2002/03. Imports remain relatively
insignificant relative to overall supply, limited to a small
quantity for blending then re-exported.
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Weekly Rice Price Update
THAILAND, May 17, 2002 -- Weekly rice price and trade
update.
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Dutch Pig Stock Is Declining
NETHERLANDS, May 17, 2002 -- Dutch pig stock is declining
to the level of 1985.
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Citrus Semi-Annual
SPAIN, May 17, 2002 -- Spain's 2001/02 citrus production is
estimated at 5,539,350 metric tons, slightly higher than the
previous campaign. Citrus exports during the 2000/01 campaign
decreased due to a shorter crop.
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Dairy and Products
Semi-Annual
MEXICO, May 17, 2002 -- Mexico will continue to be one of
the most important markets for U.S.dairy products, given its
NAFTA schedule for reducing and/or eliminating tariffs,
coupled with projections for population and income growth.
Poor sanitation and genetics, inefficient cold storage and
refrigeration, and out-dated transportation and marketing
facilities continue to limit expansion in semi-confined
systems and dual purpose cattle operations. As a result,
Mexico will likely continue to import significant amounts of
nonfat dry milk (NDM) and whole milk powder (WMP) to meet
growing domestic demand.
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Rain Assessment
GUATEMALA, May 17, 2002 -- The overall rain season in
Guatemala is expected to be slightly delayed due to the
warming phase of "El Niņo" phenomenon. In some regions strong
showers have occurs but for much of the country including the
highlands where many marginal farmers live rains have not
begun.
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