FAS Daily
Attache Report Digest
August
31, 2004
FAS Daily
Attache Report Digest
WTO FRAMEWORK: IMPACT ON
CANADIAN AGRICULTURE
CANADA, August 31, 2004 -- On July 31, 2004 a framework
agreement was reached and agreed upon at the World Trade Talks
(WTO). The reaction to the agreement from Canada's agriculture
sector was mixed. The Canadian Wheat Board was very
disappointed, as the text could signal major reforms or even
an end to the CWB monopoly. The supply management commodities
were cautious; pleased with some aspects of the text, while
still maintaining serious concerns over other aspects. The
export sector was pleased with the framework, believing it is
a good stepping-stone for further negotiations. The diverging
views on the text, represent the diverging positions that
Canadian negotiators will have to work with in attempts to
secure a deal that benefits every sector and ensures the
overall goal of increased trade liberalization for Canadian
producers.
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Annual
SOUTH AFRICA, REPUBLIC OF, August 31, 2004 -- The cattle
industry, at about 13.65 million head with meat production of
about 620,000 tons, is currently stable mainly due to
favorable weather conditions. International trade exposure is
very small although imports are increasing and exports
decreasing mainly due to the strong SA rand. Most BSE induced
limitations on US exports are still in place while the SA
veterinary services are fighting a localized FMD outbreak.
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Weekly Highlights & Hot
Bites, Issue #33
MEXICO, August 31, 2004 -- No summary available.
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Christmas Trees
MEXICO, August 31, 2004 -- The Mexican market for US
Christmas trees was over $9 million in 2003. The market for
imported Christmas trees is growing and the US enjoys a 95
percent import market share. Mexicans are increasingly using
Christmas trees as a symbol of the holiday and domestic
production is not sufficent to meet rising consumer demand.
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Avian Influenza Follow-up
Report
MALAYSIA, August 31, 2004 -- Malaysian efforts to curb the
Avian Influenza virus prove to effective, but the final
verdict is up to the lifting of the ban by importing
countries.
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Weekly Rice Price Update
THAILAND, August 31, 2004 -- Export prices changed
insignificantly, as major buyers stayed away from the market.
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Update (August)
MALAYSIA, August 31, 2004 -- Malaysia's crude palm oil (CPO)
production rose 8.4 percent to 1.3 MMT in July 2004.
Carry-over levels at the end of July also rose to 1.3 MMT.
Palm oil exports improved to 1.1 MMT in July. The average
local CPO price rose from US$388/MT in July to US$392/MT in
August.
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January to July
CHINA, PEOPLES REPUBLIC OF, August 31, 2004 -- China's
imports of agricultural, fishery, and forestry products nearly
reached $21 billion through the first seven months of the
year. China's Customs data indicates the largest supplier of
goods was the U.S. with nearly $5.6 billion and the largest
export destination was Japan at nearly $4.5 billion. Soybeans,
cotton, and animal hides and skins are the primary goods
imported from the U.S. while primary imports from the world
are soybeans, cotton, palm and soybean oil, and wool. Export
data does not account for many goods made from agricultural
products that are processed into other consumer goods
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Admin. Measures for Entry
Fruit Quarantine and Inspection - G/SPS/N/CHN/80
CHINA, PEOPLES REPUBLIC OF, August 31, 2004 -- The
following is an UNOFFICIAL translation of China's revised
Administrative Measures of Inspection, Quarantine, and
Supervision on Entry Fruit announced to the World Trade
Organization on August 6, 2004 in WTO Announcement G/SPS/N/CHN/80.
These Measures modify previous requirements (CH1058), in
particular, a new requirement indicating inspection and
quarantine requirements be listed in contracts and fruit
reexported from Hong Kong be accompanied with additional
inspection certificates.
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Announcement of 2004 TRQ
Re-allocation
CHINA, PEOPLES REPUBLIC OF, August 31, 2004 -- The National
Development and Reform Commission published on its web site an
announcement on re-allocation of 2004 import TRQs for
agricultural commodities. This is an UNOFFICIAL translation of
the announcement.
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Poultry Annual Report
ARGENTINA, August 31, 2004 -- Argentine poultry exports for
2005 are projected at a record 110,000 metric tons as a result
of good returns, the opening of new markets, good sanitary
conditions, and stronger demand from existing markets. Chile
and Venezuela are markets which are forecast to grow in 2005.
Broiler production is also expected to reach a record high of
1 million metric tons because of the strong export demand, and
a recovery of the domestic consumption.
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Report
PARAGUAY, August 31, 2004 -- Paraguay's market of imported
food and beverages is expected to total about US$170 million
in 2004, showing a strong recovery after the economic crisis
of 2002 and 2003. With continued economic growth, imports are
projected to keep on increasing in the next few years. The
fact that Argentine and Brazilian products account for almost
75 percent of all food and beverage imports, countries outside
the region have increasing opportunities. Best prospects are
for leading brands, and gourmet products, such as soups,
confectionary items, fruit preparations and beer.
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Monthly Update
CANADA, August 31, 2004 -- For 2004/2005, Canadian wheat
production is forecast to increase to 24.7 MMT due to
increased moisture and higher yields. Canadian barley
production is forecast to increase to roughly 13.0 MMT, as the
higher yields offset the reduced seeded areas. Canadian corn
production is forecast to decline to 8.2 MMT as a result of
lower seeded areas and a decline in the yields, especially in
Ontario. As many crops were seeded late, time and weather will
play an important factor in the quality and the yields of all
the major crops.
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Dried Prune Annual
FRANCE, August 31, 2004 -- For 2004, French prune
production is estimated at 47,000 MT, 10 percent below the
large crop of 2003. France is a net prune exporter, and
competes with the United States on EU markets. During MY
2003/04, French exports are expected to increase slightly to
16,000 MT, mainly due to a sharp increase in shipments to
Russia, a new market for French prunes. French prune exporters
hope to benefit in MY 2004/2005 from the smaller U.S. prune
crop.
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Annual
SAUDI ARABIA, August 31, 2004 -- The Saudi Ministry of
Agriculture indicated that the country's total broiler meat
production declined from 525,000 metric tons in 2001 to
467,000 mt in 2002 and 468,000 in 2003 (initial data). Total
poultry meat and products imports are estimated to reach
443,000 metric tons next year, an increase of two percent
compared to this year's estimated import level.
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Palm Oil Monthly Exports:
April
MALAYSIA, August 31, 2004 -- For April, total exports of
palm oil were 816.7 MMT.
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Palm Kernel Oil & Meal
Monthly Exports: April
MALAYSIA, August 31, 2004 -- For April, total exports of
palm kernel oil were 73.6 MMT and palm kernel meal 129.5 MMT.
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Soybean & Meal Monthly
Imports: April
MALAYSIA, August 31, 2004 -- For April, total imports for
soybean were 18.0 MMT and for soymeal 52.2 MMT.
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Annual
MEXICO, August 31, 2004 -- Apple production for MY 2004/05
is forecast at 510,000 MT. Apple imports are forecast to
increase only 3 percent as the apple anti-dumping duty on U.S.
Red and Golden Delicious apples is expected to limit import
volumes. However, the U.S. is expected to continue to be the
largest supplier of apples. Pear production is forecast to
increase slightly to 29,500 MT. The volume of imported U.S.
pears is expected to increase as the domestic market continues
to rely on imports. Table grape production is forecast at
191,800 MT. The U.S. continues to be the main table grape
supplier.
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Annual
EGYPT, August 31, 2004 -- Egypt's total lumber imports in
2003 amounted to about 2.5 million cubic board meters, or
about 11 percent higher than the 2002 level. However, for 2004
both softwood and hardwood imports are expected to decline by
about 17 and 9 percent, respectively.
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Annual
INDIA, August 31, 2004 -- India's CY 2005 broiler
production is forecast to grow by 15 percent to 1.9 million
tons due to greater availability of raw feed materials and
increased demand for poultry meat caused by higher consumer
income. Increasing forward integration in poultry operation,
growing farmer preference for birds with higher dressing
yield, and price stabilization measures initiated by the
industry are also factors supporting production growth, mostly
in the southern and western growing belts.
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