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45pc water shortage for next Kharif season anticipated

Govt decides to adopt water-management system to achieve targets

ISLAMABAD: The next Kharif crop in the country might be hampered because of an anticipated 45 per cent shortage of irrigation water during the Kharif season, coupled with persistent El-Nino phenomenon, resulting in low monsoon rainfall.

This was informed to the Federal Committee on Agriculture, which met here on Thursday under the chairmanship of Federal Minister for Food, Agriculture and Livestock Khair Muhammad Junejo.

Addressing a press conference after the meeting, the minister said, during the meeting, the Indus River System Authority (Irsa) chairman informed that the water crisis persisted during the Rabi season, which might affect the production. "The Irsa chairman presented two scenarios: during the early Kharif season, the water shortage will be around 53 per cent and in the latter half it will be around 38 per cent and on average it will be around 45 per cent shortage of irrigation water during the whole season," Junejo added.

He said the director-general Meteorological Department also forecast less rainfall, during the monsoon season due to El-Nino phenomenon. The Irrigation Department expressed apprehension that the water shortage would continue and there was no chance of significant improvement, despite snowfalls in hilly areas this year, he added. Keeping this scenario, he said, the government had decided to adopt water-management system to achieve the Kharif crop production targets.

He said during the ongoing Rabi season, despite 41 per cent water shortage, the country would harvest 19.2 million tonnes wheat against the target of 20 million tonnes. The carry-over stock of wheat on May 1, this year would be 3.5 million tonnes, making about 2.7 million tonne of wheat stocks surplus after meeting domestic requirement of 21 million tonne, he said, adding: "Setting aside 2 million tonne of wheat for the strategic reserves, the country will have a surplus of 700,000 tonne wheat for export purpose."

For the Kharif season, Junejo said the government sets the cotton production target at 10.06 million bales with 7.5 million bales from Punjab, 2 million from Sindh, 120,000 bales from Balochistan and 200,000 from the NWFP. However, the Punjab and Sindh had shown reservations about meeting the in the wake of the water shortage, he added.

The minister said the committee fixed the target of 46 million tonne for sugarcane. "With this production target, we expect production of around 2.8 million tonne of sugar and after adding carry-over sugar stock to it, there will be no need to import sugar during the next fiscal year," he added.

Regarding rice production target, Junejo said the committee had fixed a target of 4 million tonne rice production for the next Kharif season -- half of it would be Irri and the remaining would be Basmati.

In reply to a question, he said the decision of the Punjab to close its canals to provide water to Sindh, would be beneficial for cotton sowing in Sindh. "It is a gesture of the Punjab, which is appreciable," the minister remarked.

When asked what would be the production targets if the Irsa, in its meeting on next Wednesday, projected further shortage of water during the Kharif season, Junejo said the committee would review the target, but hoped that there would be no further water shortage. He said the government was also paying proper attention to enhance production of tea and edible oil to save foreign exchange being spent for import of these commodities.

Courtesy The News March 22, 2002

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