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Procurement will add to surplus wheat stocks


ISLAMABAD - Procurement of entire wheat produce of current Rabi at official price will only add to the surplus wheat stocks, and ultimately end up in the destruction of a huge portion of the commodity, food department officials said.

Official sources told Dawn on Monday that the country was already faced with a huge carry-forward of about four million tons of wheat with new produce about to hit the market. If the decision of total wheat procurement was implemented the market prices would collapse, the sources claimed.

Wheat production target for the current harvest has been fixed at 19.2 million tons which means the country would be having a total produce between 22.5 to 22.8 million tons of wheat by the end of current season. About half of the total to be consumed by the local population while remaining will be available for the procurement on official prices through Passco and other agencies.

No private sector party would dare to take the risk of lifting a substantive share of the wheat stocks for the purpose of export owing to various risks involved, the officials said and added, as such the real market price of wheat in the open market would not go beyond Rs260 to Rs270 per 100kg.

As a result the government would have to pile up a stock of up to 11 million tons, about 6 million tons to be available for export over the next year.

In the meanwhile, the targeted disposal of around 2.2 million tons surplus wheat, despite involving the private sector with substantive incentives, has not yet been achieved. Only 0.87 million tons of wheat has been sold out till the end of March including 0.45 million tons to have been transported to Afghanistan.

Factors in slow export of wheat to the international market were seen as the overshadowing of Pakistani wheat by the established exporters including Australia and India. Moreover, Iraq and Iran's refusal of importing Pakistani wheat, the sources said, also was linked to political reasons. Another factor hindering penetration of Pakistani commodity to the world exposure are told to be higher rate of $104 per ton as against Indian wheat which was available at $96 per ton.

Iraqi order cancellation, the source said, was linked to Pakistan's joining international coalition after Sep 11 incident and even more serious was ex-Basra price of $198 per ton as against Australian ex-Basra wheat made available at $125 per ton.



courtesy Daily Dawn, 9 April, 2002

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