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Cotton subdued amid moderate buying

KARACHI-The cotton market remained subdued on Saturday, owing to the spinners' reluctance to chase the rising prices'. The ginners too, got jittery after the release of the PCGA report, which gave credence to official crop estimate of 10.5 million bales. They relented in the buyers' favour to ensure speedy clearance of accumulated stocks.

About 5000 bales changed hands at prices matching the spinners' export parity. Some buying interest was witnessed, after the lull of a couple of days. In fact, the cotton market depicted an easy tone with the prices down by Rs50 to 75per maund. The bearish trend was more pronounced after the release of the Pakistan Cotton Ginners Association's report, which revealed that up to April 1, over 10 million bales of cotton reached the ginneries.

This belied those, who were predicting a crop shortfall due to the shortage of water. The initial arrival of phutti was relatively small because of the late sowing but the latest figure indicated an increase of 0.31 per cent in the arrivals over the corresponding figure of the previous year.

Following the publication of the report, the spinners who were making hasty purchases fearing shortage of supplies in coming days, withdrew to the sidelines. Consequently, the lint prices fell by Rs50 to 75 per maund. The fine quality lint of Punjab and Sindh, which was fetching Rs 1875/1900, started changing hands at Rs 1800/1825.

Similarly, the price for inferior quality lint fell from Rs1550/1575 to RS 1475/1500. Yet the spinners are showing restraint and thus the buying is confined to selected lots. The arrival of phutti into the ginning factories is also declining and according to an estimate, only 1.5 to 2 lakh bales of additional phutti is expected to arrive at the fag end of the season.

There is some improvement in the demand for yarn in the local yarn market, but the prices are pegged at the previous level. This has created a serious liquidity problem for the trade. This is intriguing; because of late the slackness in weaving and knitting sectors seemed to be ending fast which had led to a distinct improvement in the demand for lint.

The cotton dealers had taken a sigh of relief after learning that a large number of looms lying idle had come on stream again while the knitting machines too had be en reactivated. But suddenly, the projection of larger cotton crop by PCGA came as a bolt from the blue for the ginners. Gloom again descended on the market following withdrawal of the spinners' demand.

According to All Pakistan Textile Mills' Association, the number of spindles and looms has increased so much in the last two to three years that next year; the domestic consumption of lint may exceed 11 million bales. The most interesting thing about cotton trade is; that while the import of foreign cotton continues unabated, export of the commodity from Pakistn is also taking place simultaneously.

So far, 830,000 bales of lint have been imported while exports stand at 110,000 bales. Last week, polyester fibre producers enhanced the price of the fibre by Rs4 per kilo, which means accumulative increase of Rs7, within a month raising the price of the commodity to RS 57 per kilo. The polyester fibre producers attribute the hike to an abnormal hike of $160 per ton in the price of PTA used in the manufacture of the fibre.

Hence, the local manufacturers' are still suffering a loss of Rs2 to Rs3, after hiking the rate by Rs7.00 per kilo. The manufacturers' do not rule out the possibility of further hike in its price. Meanwhile, business circles are looking forward to a positive impact of President Musharraf's decision to hold referendum on cotton trade.

They hope that to ensure a positive outcome of the exercise, business climate will be improved and grievances of business community removed. The Trading Corporation of Pakistan is continuing its procurement drive in a bid to stabilise lint prices. So far it has finalised a deal for 3.75 lakh bales out of which the delivery of 2.25 lakh bales has been received.

According to latest PCGA report until April 1, 10.1 million bales of phutti have arrived into the ginning factories as compared to 10.085 million b ales last year. The ginners are still saddled with an unsold stock of 1.4 million bales. Meanwhile, cotton sowing has started in the lower Sindh. Official spot rate remained unchanged at Rs1800 on Saturday. Ready off-take stood at 5000 bales out of which 3200 bales were from Sindh and the rest from Punjab.

Of Sindh cotton, 1300 bales Khipro were sold at Rs1500, 500 bales Khadro at Rs1500, 1000 bales Akri at Rs1650 and 400 bales Punjmoro at Rs1650. Of Punjab cotton, 200 bales Burewala changed hands at Rs1775, 200 bales Burewala at Rs1800, 100 bales Gojra at Rs1575, 500 bales Kasowal at Rs1775 and 200 bales Chichawatni at Rs1650.



courtesy Daily The News, 8 April, 2002

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